That was a wrap on NFL Week 5 — and what a great finale. The Bills, 3.5-point underdogs, beat the Rams 37-34 in overtime. Los Angeles, the first Super Bowl favorite, is now 2-3 and in third place in the NFC West. New Super Bowls Around: 49ers +680, Bills +700, Rams +750.
🏈 25 Handicappers. An Amazing Record.
I love it every time I hear from a professional Las Vegas bettor Steve Fezzik.
My former Northwestern classmate is generous with his feedback on what we do here at VSiN — both the good and, sometimes, the bad.
On Monday, he texted me to point out the combined record of the participants in the Circa Friday Football Invitational.
“You’ll never see a 25-year tournament with such a strong record ever.”
I checked the stats and, as usual, Steve was right.
Through five weeks, the 25 participants came together for:
479-389-7 on sides and whole
55.18% win rate
That’s 90 more winners than losers from a field of 25 handicappers.
I told Steve I hoped I wouldn’t upset the contestants by writing about it. I’ve mini-mushed them: three contestants had Rams -3.5 on Monday night.
VSiN Pro subscribers get all 175 picks from 25 handicappers every Friday night on VSiN.com and in the email I send.
>> Circa Friday Football Invitational Hub
🏈 Tuesday Night Football
Conference USA keeps the daily football streak alive with two games tonight:
Delaware (-1) at Middle Tennessee — 7 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network
FIU (+3) at Jacksonville State — 8 p.m. ET, ESPNU
Our resident C-USA expert Adam Burke has games in both games.
Adam also spotted a potentially telling line move: Delaware opened -2.5 but fell to -1 in Circa.
“Looks like we’re trending into a reversed favorite situation. Circa -1 price suggests they’ve taken some support from the Blue Raiders and they might expect more from it.”
👉 Adam Burke’s Picks for Both C-USA Games →
👉 Week 7 Opening Lines Report →
📊 Five Games on Adam’s Radar
Adam updated his college football power ratings and identified six games where his numbers differed from the betting line.
Actually, do that five. The news that UCLA quarterback Nico Iamaleava is expected to miss the rest of the season with a knee injury came after Adam completed his ratings.
>> Adam’s Week 7 Power Ratings and Projections
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🔎 NFL Week 6: Quarterback Questions
Adam Burke tracks early line adjustments for Week 6 — with more moves likely as quarterback injury situations become clearer.
Get it Bears–Falcons. Michael Penix Jr. was late in Atlanta’s loss to Baltimore, while Caleb Williams could be ready to return from his hamstring injury. The line is Chicago -3, for now.
>> NFL Week 6 Odds, Line Moves and Matchups
💰 Circa Contest Wrapup
☠️ Survivor: 2,910 Still alive
The Rams’ overtime loss eliminated three more Circa Survivor entries, leaving 2,910 of the original 25,017 still chasing the $25,017,000 prize pool.
That puts the implied share of the prize pool at approx $8,597 per surviving entry.
>> Circa Survivor Hub
🛒 Survivor Sweat Marketplace
Survivor Sweat Marketplace is open for business. In a transaction, 98% of a live Survivor entry sold for $11,011.
More than 100 entries are listed for sale on Monday night. >> Browse Listings
🏆 Average Joe: Better Than Perfect
VSiN Pro subscribers Steve Schwerb of Columbia, Illinoiswas one of the 30 contestants who made it to perfection 7-0 in Week 5 of the EdgeBoost Average Joe Contest. He won the weekly tiebreaker with 164.5 action points.
Mark Morrow of Portsmouth, Ohiowon the first quarter prize — a trip to Las Vegas — with 31.5 points. >> Average Joe Leaderboard
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⚾ Dodgers in Trouble; The Guardians Strike First
The Dodgers are back in Los Angeles down 2-0 to the Brewers in the NLCS — and, according to The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal, even the possibility of benching Shohei Ohtani is being discussed.
Ohtani went 0-for-4 in Monday’s 7-4 loss and is hitting .150 this postseason.
In the ALCS, Cleveland opened a 7-3 victory over Tampa Bay. Game 2 is tonight, with Parker Messick faces Freddy Peralta.
Adam Burke said the bullpens told most of Monday’s story: Milwaukee got five perfect innings from its relievers, Cleveland allowed just one solo homer out of the pen, and Tampa Bay’s bullpen gave up five runs.
He’s also watching how the Guardians approach Peralta’s changeup — and how Messick’s own changeup matches up with Tampa Bay’s right-handed bats.
“I expect Freddy Peralta in Game 2 to throw a lot of changeups, but I want to see if it’s his two-strike pitches or if he throws them in early counts. That’s going to make a big difference in how the Cleveland offense plays.”
Adam will post his Best Bets later this morning. >> MLB Best Bets and Playoff Coverage
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🏒 Every NHL Team Takes Action
Sixteen games. All 32 NHL teams. It’s a full slate tonight.
VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis breaks down his Best Bets on 9:45 a.m. ET with Dave Ross and Jensen Lewis VSiN Of Booksthen return to 5 pm ET in Follow the Money with Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard.
Look for his picks later this morning. >> NHL Picks and Analysis
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🏈 A Complimentary Pick From Wunderdog, Every Day
Give me your email and a complimentary pick arrives in your inbox every day, with the full write-up behind it. I will also put a $50 credit on to my Pro Picks in any sport. I’ve posted every pick since 2001, so you can check how I do before you use it.
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🏀 The NBA Betting Guide is gone
Win totals on the sides. Profit margins.
The 44-page VSiN NBA Betting Guide is packed with everything you need to prepare for the season:
- Win-total predictions for all 30 NBA teams
- Futures selected from nine VSiN experts
- Steve Makinen’s preseason power ratings
- Key betting trends and team-by-team previews
- Best bets for a long time
>> Get the NBA Betting Guide