Dave “Dog or Pass” Tuley pointed out that the underdogs have outright won each of the last three Thursday nights.
- Week 3: The Falcons (+4.5) beat the Packers 35-14
- Week 4: The Browns (+2.5) beat the Steelers 27-24
- Week 5: The Buccaneers (+9.5) defeated the Cowboys 24-16
So count Dave on the home underdog Broncos (+2.5) against the Seahawks tonight (8:15 pm ET), right?
Well, not exactly.
“It’s tempting to take the Broncos if we can get +3,” Dave wrote. But he has a different way to play.
>> Read Tuley’s Takes for Seahawks–Broncos and Every Week 6 Game
ICYMI: Zach Cohen has his own game preview and Best Bet.
>> Read Zach’s Seahawks–Broncos Picks and Props
>> VSiN NFL Week 6 Betting Hub
From the VSiN Community: A Thursday Night QB Prop
Yesterday I invited members of the VSiN Community to submit a Thursday Night Football Best Bet—and explain the reasoning. Dean Sheaffer comes up with a thoughtful argument for a quarterback prop.
>> Read Dean’s Community Pick
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⚾ The Dodgers are One Loss from Elimination
The two-time defending World Series champion Dodgers are on the brink after Milwaukee’s 6-2 win on Wednesday gave the Brewers a 3-0 NLCS lead. Game 4 is tonight (8 pm ET, FS1).
Adam Burke has a simple argument to debunk conspiracy theories that suggest the Dodgers are throwing the series to help a small market team reach the World Series before a potential labor dispute.
“The Brewers have been the better team in this series and have learned from last season’s mistakes,” Adam wrote in a note for VSiN Daily.
Adam pointed to Jake Bauers, Andrew Vaughn, DL Hall and Trevor Megill as examples of Milwaukee’s resourcefulness in building its roster.
“This brilliant organization, coaching staff and group of really good ballplayers is one game away from the World Series and that’s no mistake,” Adam wrote. “They answered the bell after last season’s sweep and deserve all the credit in the world, but the toughest win is the one they still have to get.”
Adam’s Dodgers–Brewers Game 4 analysis will be posted later Thursday morning.
Meanwhile, the ALCS continues with the Rays at the Guardians, tied 1-1. First pitch is 1 pm ET on TNT due to expected inclement weather in Cleveland.
>> Read Adam’s Rays–Guardians Game 3 Preview
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🏈 Thursday College Football Betting Menu
After two nights of Conference USA action, Thursday will include the Sun Belt, American and Pac-12.
Thursday’s games (Circa lines; times ET):
- East Carolina (-5.5) at UAB — 7:30 p.m., ESPN
- Georgia Southern (-4) at Old Dominion — 7:30 p.m., ESPN2
- Colorado State (+14) at Texas State — 8 p.m., CBS Sports Network
>> Read Adam Burke’s Thursday College Football Best Bets
A New Betting System from Steve Makinen
After a tough college football Week 6, Steve Makinen turned to his analytics for some new betting systems. One search caught my attention:
Conference home favorites coming off double-digit conference losses are just 217-291 ATS (42.7%) since 2016.
Steve’s reasoning: These teams are reeling from a bad conference loss and may not be well positioned to cover as favorites in their next game. The system has five qualifying teams in Week 7.
>> Check out Steve’s New Systems and the Week 7 Matchups
>> CFB Week 7 Betting Hub
🏆 Now’s the Time to Enter the Average Joe
The EdgeBoost Average Joe Contest kicks off a new quarter, so it’s a good time to enter. The winner of the second quarter will receive round-trip airfare for two to Las Vegas and a two-night stay at Circa Resort & Casino. Admission is free.
>> Enter the Average Joe Contest
EdgeBoost also offers $1,000 if one of its customers tops the weekly standings. $100 deposit required.
>> Sign Up for EdgeBoost
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🏀 The NBA Betting Guide is gone
Win totals on the sides. Profit margins.
The 44-page VSiN NBA Betting Guide features win-total predictions for all 30 teams, futures picks from nine VSiN experts, Steve Makinen’s preseason power ratings, team-by-team previews, betting trends and season-long best bets.
>> Get the NBA Betting Guide
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🏈 A Complimentary Pick From Wunderdog, Every Day
Give me your email and a complimentary pick arrives in your inbox every day, with the full write-up behind it. I will also put a $50 credit on my Pro Picks in any sport. I’ve posted every pick since 2001, so you can check how I do before you use it.
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📈 Move the Market Before Everyone
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