🦬 Bills Mafia Invades Las Vegas — and the Sportsbooks
The blue-tinted crowd at Circa tells you all you need to know: The Bills Mafia descended on Las Vegas for today’s game against the Raiders. And apparently, they brought their money.
At Circa, 76% of the bets and 61% of the money were on Buffalo.
The Bills opened as 6-point favorites, but the line was surprisingly on Buffalo -4.5 on Saturday night. (DraftKings has the Bills -5.5.)
Buffalo is coming off a 37-34 overtime victory over the Rams on Monday night and emerged as the Super Bowl favorite at +700.
But Matt Youmans, who is 20-12 in his NFL Best Bets columns this season, see another side of the story:
“Buffalo fans stormed into Las Vegas this weekend with full confidence in Josh Allen, who is often the quarterback version of Superman. Allen is hard to bet on, but a bad Buffalo defense is the other side of the story.”
>> Check out Matt’s Bills–Raiders Picks and Other Week 6 Best Bets
🏈 More NFL Best Bets for the Week
Matt isn’t the only VSiN expert weighing in on Bills–Raiders. Wes Reynolds and Steve Makinen also have opinions on the game as part of their seven-play Week 6 card.
>> Wes Reynolds: 7 NFL Best Bets
>> Steve Makinen: 7 NFL Best Bets
>> Zach Cohen: 9 Week 6 Picks
>> Dave Tuley’s Takes on Every NFL Game
Looking for a different way to attack the Sunday slate? Adam Burke digs into the player prop and first-touchdown market.
>> Adam Burke’s First Touchdown Scorer’s Picks
>> Adam’s Favorite NFL Player Props
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⚡ BOLT Top Edge: 7-1 to Bottom
BOLT’s top NFL player prop for Sunday is backed by a 7-1 Under trend this season.
>> Check out BOLT’s Top NFL Player Props
🏈 Get ready for Sunday Kickoff
It’s an early start, with Texans–Jaguars at Paris at 9:30 am ET.
VSiN has you covered all morning:
9 am–Noon ET: Pro Football Tailgate Show with Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard.
Noon–1 pm ET: Countdown to Kickoff with Stormy Buonantony and Jonathan Von Tobel.
A note of damage to watch: Caleb Williams will start for the Bears against Atlanta. The line remained pick’em at Circa.
>> NFL Week 6 Matchups, Picks and Previews
🧰 Your Sunday NFL Betting Toolkit
🤖 Opta AI NFL Player Prop Projection →
NFL Player Prop Analyzer →
Sunday Matchups and Advanced Stats →
NFL Betting Splits →
Every NFL Pick From VSiN Hosts and Guests →
Latest NFL Injury Report →
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🏆 What the Tournament Players Rate . . .
Carolina is the overwhelming favorite among this week’s Circa Million contestants, but . . .
Of those 5,744 submitted cardsa remarkable one 2,903 with the Panthers -1 against Philadelphia. That’s 50.5% of all cards — and 86.2% of participants who chose that matchup.
Here’s the catch: Circa Million lines were frozen before the Eagles announced that Jalen Hurts would miss the game due to a blood clot. The market then moved to Carolina -3.5 before settling at -3 on Saturday.
It means holding contestants Panthers -1 has a two point value linesomething that many seem unable to overlook.
Other popular Circa Million options:
Browns +5.5: 2,321 choices (40.4% of cards)
Jaguar -2.5: 1,605
Bills -4.5: 1,354
Giants +1: 1,271
Cowboys +1: 1,271
>> See Full Circa Contest Selections
⚡ VSiN Tournament Players agree with the Chargers
Two VSiN contests reached the same conclusion about the Chargers–Chiefs.
At the Circa Friday Football Invitational, five handicappers selected Chargers +8 against Kansas City. No one took the Chiefs.
EdgeBoost Average Joe participants are almost as emphatic: 307 of 416 picks — 74% — were on the Chargers +8.
>> See Average Joe Consensus Picks
>> Check out the Friday Football Invitational Selections
💰 Circa Survivor: Three Teams Bring $25 Million in Sweat
Only 2,908 entries remain alive in Circa Survivor. This week’s picks are heavily focused on three teams:
Rams: 901 options
Patriots: 821
Foals: 703
That is 2,425 of the 2,909 submitted selections — 83.4% — rode on just three teams. One entry failed to submit a pick.
An upset could eliminate hundreds of entries from the chase for $25 million.
🔥 The $513,333 No-Pick
In Circa Grandissimo, where each entry is worth $100,000 and the winner will take $7.7 millionone participant did not submit a selection. Circa is trying to sort out what happened late Saturday.
With 15 entries alive entering the week, each one is almost representative $513,333 in indicated prize money.
Just now 14 entries leftand 12 of them were with the Rams (6), Patriots (4) or Colts (2).
🏆 Still want a Piece of Circa Survivor?
Missed out on getting into Circa Survivor before the season? Survivor Sweat, the Official Contest Entry Marketplace of Circa Sports, lets you browse live entries and make offers to buy all or part of one.
The market is closing Sunday at 9:25 am ETfive minutes before the first game, and will reopen Monday at 11 am ET.
>> Browse Live Survivor Entries Still Chasing $25 Million
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🏈 Ohio State Wins — and Losses
Ohio State outlasted Indiana 19-15 on Saturday, finishing as a 2.5-point favorite — perhaps by half a foot.
But the Buckeyes may have suffered a consequential loss. quarterback Julian Sayin injured his right shoulder and is expected to be out for several weeks.
>> Watch the Dramatic Ohio State–Indiana finish
It’s not a good Saturday to support college football’s big favorites, either.
Georgia (-19) lost to Auburn 27-24. Notre Dame (-10.5) fell to undefeated BYU 28-24. Alabama (-7.5) lost in Tennessee, and Texas (-13) lost in Florida.
On the other hand, imagine parlaying all four underdogs — Auburn, Tennessee, Florida and BYU.
Every $1 bet would have returned $739.43as calculated by VSiN fan Bobby Decorte.
>> Check out Bobby’s Four-Team Underdog Parlay Calculation
⚾ ALCS: Back to Even
We have a best-of-three series.
The Rays beat the Guardians 7-3 Saturday night to the American League Championship Series in two games apiece.
Game 5 is Sunday night.
>> Adam Burke’s Best Bets later today
🏀 Get ready for the NBA Season
The NBA tips on Tuesday. Have you made your future bets?
of VSiN 44-page NBA Betting Guide features win-total predictions for all 30 teams, futures picks from nine VSiN experts and preseason power ratings by Steve Makinen.
>> Get the NBA Betting Guide
🏈 Help Us Handicap Monday Night Football
More than 1,200 readers have joined the VSiN Community. Now we are looking for your best bet.
Who do you want on Monday night? Commanders–49ers game?
Give us your pick, the number you bet on and — most importantly — why you like it.
We’ll feature some of the most compelling arguments in Monday’s VSiN Daily.
>> Share Your MNF Best Bet with the VSiN Community