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🏈 Sometimes the Best Bet is No Bet
It may seem counterintuitive for a sports betting newsletter to lead a game that you should not bet.
But Matt Youmans makes a compelling case for staying on the sidelines for Ole Miss–Texas (7:30 pm ET, ABC).
“The most intriguing game on the betting board Saturday is Mississippi-Texas, and my thoughts on it are across the board. If you’ve watched these teams all season, you should like the Rebels +3.5. If you’ve been betting games for years and know how this crap usually works, your instincts will pull you to the Texas side of the argument.”
Matt is 26-11-5 in his Best Bets columns this season. To put that kind of record together, I think you also have to know when to pass.
Late Friday, Texas moved from -3.5 to -3 in Circa. I asked Matt if his opinion had changed.
“Not really. It’s an attractive game for bettors. I know sharp men on both sides.”
Without further ado, here are Matt’s Week 8 Best Bets — minus an Ole Miss–Texas pick.
🏈 More College Football Best Bets
Wes Reynolds — 9 plays
By Steve Makin — 14 plays
Adam Burke — 3 plays
Zachary Cohen — 3 plays
Dave Tuley — 3 plays
Brad Taylorco-hosted by Live Bets on Saturdays (3–6 pm ET), also posted six picks on the VSiN Community page.
🏆 Five Handicappers Agree on Houston
Houston visits Utah tonight (10:15 pm ET), and there’s a striking consensus among the Circa Friday Football Invitational handicappers.
Five participants chose Houston +6.5: Paul Stone, Alex White, Chris Macero, Robert Brubeck and Mike Montesano, who made it his own Best Bet.
Kenny White went in a different direction, opting for Over 56.5.
>> See all 175 Invitational picks from 25 handicappers
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📈 Week 8 Analytics Report by Makinen »
🏈 Matchups and Advanced Statistics »
📊 Circa and DraftKings Betting Splits »
🎯 Every Week 8 Pick From VSiN Hosts & Guests »
⚡ Complete CFB Week 8 Betting Hub »
Prefer to watch?
Check out our YouTube compilation of college football Best Bets from VSiN hosts and guests.
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🏈 NFL Week 7
The Latest From Circa Sportsbook
The Rams opened as 6-point favorites over the Raiders. By Friday afternoon, that number had been cut in half.
That’s one of the few significant NFL line moves Circa owner Derek Stevens spoke with Matt Youmans on Friday Circa Friday Football Invitational.
Derek reported the Raiders’ heavy money on Friday, pushing the Rams from -4 to -3.5 and eventually -3. Injuries to key Rams players also contributed to the movement.
Some other developments from Circa sportsbook:
- Packers at Lions: Detroit moved from -3 to -3.5 following the Green Bay injury reports.
- Seahawks leaders: Seattle moved from -2.5 to -3, with heavy Over action pushing the total to 48.5.
- Bengals at Ravens: Baltimore opened at -3, but the favorite fell for a week before the line settled on the pick’em.
- 49ers at Falcons: San Francisco opened -4, dropped to -2.5, then cashed in on Friday.
And what about Circa Survivor? Derek sees a scenario where the Jets could be a surprisingly popular choice against Miami. But will she trust New York with a $25 million contest entry still alive?
>> Listen to Derek and Matt break down the latest line moves and Survivor implications
🎯 NFL Week 7 Best Bets
Zach Cohen – 3 choices
Dave Tuley — Fighting every game
Adam Burke — First-choice touchdown scorers
Adam Burke — Player props
By Steve Makin — 9 plays
Coming later this morning: New NFL picks from Matt Youmans and Wes Reynolds.
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🎥 Five Props for National Tight End Day
John Hansen is celebrating National Tight End Day with five tight end props among his 18 recommendations for the weekend.
>> Watch John’s player prop breakdown on YouTube
🧰 NFL Betting Tools
BOLT picks will be posted after 2 pm PT today.
⚡ BOLT Player Prop Trends »
🤖 Opta AI NFL Player Prop Projection »
🔎 NFL Player Prop Analyzer »
🏈 Weekly Matchups & Advanced Statistics »
🎯 Every NFL Week 7 Pick From VSiN Hosts & Guests »
⚡ Complete NFL Week 7 Betting Hub »
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⚾ Brewer Fans Take Over Circa
As you might expect from fans of a team that hasn’t reached the World Series since 1982, Brewer fans were out in force at Circa Sportsbook on Friday night.
And they had plenty to celebrate as Milwaukee defeated Tampa Bay 3-2 in Game 1.
Game 2 is Saturday night (8 pm ET)with Milwaukee’s Logan Henderson facing Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen.
The Brewers are -122 favorites on the moneyline, with the Rays at +110.
Adam Burke’s Game 2 betting analysis will post tomorrow morning.
>> Get Adam’s World Series Game 2 preview and picks
⚡ Quick Hits
NBA:
Zach Cohen’s latest NBA coverage »
🏒 NHL picks and analysis from Jonathan Davis »
⚽ EPL Soccer Picks »
🥊 UFC Picks »
🏇 Horse Racing Picks »
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