🏈 Who Bet on the Bucs?
Let’s see here.
The Bucs are 0-4 straight up and 0-4 ATS.
They don’t have Baker Mayfield. Undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels threw three interceptions in his first NFL start. It’s at home. Now he’s on the road in Dallas.
Tampa Bay will also be without standout safety Antoine Winfield Jr. and two defensive reserves.
So why do Circa betting splits look like this?
Circa opened Dallas as a 9.5-point favorite. By Wednesday night, Circa’s line is Cowboys -7.5. Only 33% of spread bets were on the Bucs, but those bets represented 92% of the money wagered on the spread at Circa.
VSiN.com senior editor Zach Cohen wrote: “While there’s very little public faith in the Buccaneers here, it’s rare that these games are as straightforward as they look. There’s sharp money pushing the line closer to a touchdown.”
Zach sees a path to improvement for Daniels: Dallas ranks 31st in EPA per play allowed (0.191)and its secondary suffered.
>> Zach’s Bucs-Cowboys Best Bet
A caution about those splits: Circa often takes big bets in the final minutes before kickoff. Wednesday night’s picture could look very different by game time.
Circa owner Derek Stevens will join VSiN around 7:30 pm ETbefore the 8:15 kickoff, with a new look at the action. That’s worth watching before you place your bet.
>> Follow Circa Betting Splits
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🐕 Dog or Pass?
Dave “Dog or Pass” Tuley has a dilemma: “I usually like TNF dogs.” Does he make an exception for this Tampa Bay team?
>> Dave’s Takes on Every NFL Game
I also checked the VSiN Pro selections page to make sure our No. 1 ride-or-die Cowboys hypeman.
Dave Ross: Cowboys -8.
Whew!
>> VSiN Pro Picks, Including John Hansen’s TNF Props
🧰 Build Your Own TNF Card
Looking forward to BOLT’s Bucs-Cowboys player prop recommendations after 1 pm ET today. You can also explore our AI projections, player prop analyzers and VSiN expert picks.
>> BOLT Player Prop Picks
>> Opta AI NFL Player Prop Projection
>> NFL Player Prop Analyzer
>> NFL Week 5 Hub, Including Steve Makinen’s Analytics Report
Note on programming: Keyshawn Johnson and Patrick Meagher will provide live commentary on tonight’s game from the 8–11 pm ET.
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💬 A Cowboys Fan Makes His Case
I asked the VSiN Community for its best Thursday Night Football handicap. Ryan Barrett, a self-described Cowboys fan, expects Dallas to win big — and has a prop-bet angle to go with it.
>> Read Ryan’s Cowboys Handicap and Prop
☠️ A Taunting Survivor Shortcut?
Circa Survivor contestants usually prefer to avoid Thursday nights. But in Dallas price around -495 on the moneylineWill some contestants decide the Cowboys are too tempting to pass up?
Meanwhile, Survivor Sweat marketplace reported 16 entry sales Tuesday and seven more Wednesday. Unsold listings include: 3% of a Circa Grandissimo entry offered for $15,000 — an implied $500,000 valuation for the entire entry at that asking price.
>> Check out the Survivor Sweat Marketplace Listings
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🏈 Four more College Football Games Tonight
Adam Burke surrendered South Florida at UTSAa matchup of two 4-1 American Conference teams hoping to build College Football Playoff resumes. He also broke the other three games on Thursday.
>> Adam’s Thursday CFB Analysis and Best Bets
Steve Makinen has some choices three of four games tonight. >> Check out Steve’s Week 6 Best Bets
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⚾ 3 In; 1 Division Series Left
The Rays eliminated the Yankees to advance to the ALCS, the Dodgers eliminated Atlanta to reach the NLCS and will meet the Brewers, who eliminated the Padres late Wednesday.
That will go away ALDS Game 4: Guardians at White Sox, 8 pm ET tonight on TBS.
Adam Burke said Cleveland’s bats finally came alive in Game 3. Parker Messick was rested, while Chicago faced another bullpen game. Adam watches how aggressively manager Will Venable uses Grant Taylor — and whether Erick Fedde handles multiple innings after Davis Martin works in Game 3.
The Rays await a winner after holding the Yankees to just five runs in their sweep. And the Dodgers’ depth showed again: they lost Blake Snell’s start but won behind Tarik Skubal, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Tyler Glasnow.
Adam’s Thursday MLB Best Bets are expected later this morning. Check out the VSiN MLB page for the latest analysis.
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⚾ Tony George Stays Hot in MLB
Tony George ends the 2026 MLB regular season +120 units and +$8,060.
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📖 DonBest Football Rotation Guide
The updated second-half College and Pro Rotation Guide is available for $4.99. Already bought? Download the updated version.
>> Get the Updated Cycling Guide