🏈 Will Coach Removal Pay Off For Bettors?
VSiN PrimeTime host Tim Murray pointed out an interesting trend heading into college football weekend.
Last season, teams playing after firing their head coach went 8-4 ATS.
In Week 9, three teams got their first chance to test that theory:
Baylor +1 on UCF —Dave Aranda
Maryland +2.5 vs. Illinois — Mike Locksley
NC State -7 vs. Cal — Dave Doeren
>> Check out 12 games from last season in Tim’s post
And we don’t have to wait until Saturday. Baylor visits UCF tonight (7:30 pm ET, ESPN) in Friday’s best-of-three college football game. The Knights are coming off an upset of BYU.
Adam Burke breaks down all three games on Friday, including the best Baylor-UCF bet.
>> Read Adam’s Baylor-UCF analysis and best bets
Steve Makinen also has a play on tonight’s Tulane-Charlotte matchup in his Week 9 Best Bets.
>> Check out Steve’s Week 9 Best Bets
Get ahead of Saturday’s Games
Our disabled already have 11 college football picks for Saturday:
Dave Tuley: 5 plays
Adam Burke: 3 plays
Zach Cohen: 3 plays
And about Thursday’s North Texas-FAU game: The total closed at 77.5. It’s still not high enough. North Texas 48, FAU 41. That’s 89 points.
>> College Football Week 9 Betting Hub
🏈 Bears Move Big — and the Betting Market Reacts
The Packers (-3.5) beat the Panthers 27-19 Thursday night. The 46 combined points remained Under the overall total of 47.5.
But the biggest NFL news of the day came from Chicago.
The Bears acquired All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons from Tennessee for two first-round picks and a fourth-rounder.
Jamey Pileggi, Circa Sports risk manager who specializes in the NFL, said he slightly adjusted the price of Chicago’s Super Bowl futures, to +1200. The bigger movement came in Sunday’s Titans-Bengals game.
Tennessee is already a 10.5-point underdog in Cincinnati. After the trade, Circa moved the Bengals to -12.5.
“The perception is that they’re packing it in.”
The Bears remain 3-point underdogs against Seattle on Monday Night Football.
Steve Makinen lays out his top NFL plays for Week 8.
>> Best NFL Week 8 Bets by Steve Makinen
>> NFL Week 8 Betting Hub
🏆 25 Handicappers. Just a Missing Record.
Through seven weeks of the Circa Friday Football Invitational, 25 contestants came together for a 662-545-18 record — a 54.8% winning percentage. More awesome: 24 out of 25 handicaps are at .500 or higher.
Chris Macero leads the way with 33 points, followed by Jack Lenenberg and Alex White at 32.5.
Alex’s return is remarkable. He is 5-9 and in last place after two weeks. Since then, he has been gone 26-9 (74.3%) to move up to third place.
Matt Youmans presents another 175 selection tonight (7–10 pm ET) on VSiN.
Tonight’s guests: Doug Kezirian joins the first hour with Derek. Also appearing: Kenny White, Alex White, Jeff Whitelaw, Mike Montesano and Bobby Brubeck.
>> Follow the Invitational standings
VSiN Pro subscribers get an email immediately after the show with all 175 contest choices.
🐎 Dave Tuley Looks for Value in the Breeders’ Cup
If you’ve been around VSiN for a while, you know about Dave Tuley’s dog-or-pass approach to sports betting.
In horse racing, his philosophy is slightly different.
“My top choice is what I consider my ‘value pick,’ as the horse that has the best chance of beating its odds, and thus the greatest chance of profiting in the long run.”
With that distinction, I present Dave’s picks for today five Future Stars races at Keenelandthe opening day of the Breeders’ Cup.
>> Friday Breeders’ Cup picks by Dave Tuley
“Mr. Ed” Sehon he also has picks for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile today.
>> Juvenile preview and prediction of Mr. Ed
More from Ed and the Daily Racing Form handicappers on our horse racing page.